WebHeader_Grove.jpg
Play Live Radio
Next Up:
0:00
0:00
Available On Air Stations
Become a sustaining member today for your chance to win two season ski passes to the NH ski resort of your choice.
Politics
Final results: Summary results | Town resultsThe BasicsThe New Hampshire primary is a mainstay in American electoral politics. Every four years, voters gather to help determine the Republican and/or Democratic nominee for President. While the state only has 12 electoral votes in 2012 (normally it’s 24, but the Republican National Committee penalized the state party for moving up the event date), the primary’s position as one of the earliest contests gives the state out-sized influence over the nomination process.Only the Iowa caucuses come before New Hampshire’s primary. Traditionally, New Hampshire’s broad-based primary contest has been seen as a counter-weight to Iowa’s more drawn-out caucus process, which tends to draw a smaller core of party faithful. In the case of the 2012 Republican race, New Hampshire’s electorate is seen to represent the more libertarian-leaning, fiscally conservative wing of the party, while Iowa voters are seen as representing the socially conservative wing of the GOP base.N.H. Primary summary provided by StateImpact - NH reporter, Amanda Loder

Mitt Romney Still Looking Like Top Contender in GOP Primary

romney-BEST.jpg

With 60 days until the NH primary, people are wondering if anyone will be able to catch Mitt Romney.

The strengths of Mitt Romney’s NH campaign are on full display in these 25 seconds.

“Now if I stumble around a little bit tonight, it’s in part because I wrote these notes in the automobile, and I can’t always read what I have written.  But I’m going to try to do my best. And I want to thank both the senators for their introductions, and to the governor, for being here, because each of these individuals is noted for their fiscal conservatism. And I come tonight to talk about fiscal conservatism and fiscal responsibility.”

That was Romney and Exeter. Nothing flashy, but there it is in a nutshell. Let’s parse it.

“Now if I stumble around a little bit tonight, it’s because I wrote these notes in the automobile.”

That’s a twofer. First, it’s formal Mitt Romney trying to seem casual. But he’s also taking a whack at Rick Perry, whose last NH speech was so erratic it went viral on YouTube.  Romney, in any case, didn’t stumble in Exeter. He also never looked at his notes. He’s now such a polished campaigner, he didn’t need to.

Thank you to both senators for their introductions, and to the governor for being here.

Romney was basking in the endorsement of the state’s most august republicans. Former US senator Judd Gregg, and former Governor John H. Sununu. Romney’s been courting key players here since he was Massachusetts Governor. He’s also stumped for NH candidates up and down the food chain in every election. Along the way, he’s built reserves of goodwill and internalized the message most likely to resonate across the NH primary electorate, from hardcore Tea Partiers to independent swing voters.  

I come tonight to talk about fiscal conservatism, and fiscal responsibility. Romney rarely drifts from this focus these days, or from the suggestion that he can cure the county’s economic woes.

"The median income in America has dropped 10 percent during the Obama years, middle income Americans are suffering in this county and i want to help middle Americans have a prosperous and bright future and that is the course for our party and for this campaign."

When Romney was done, State Senator Russell Prescott, a conservative who backed Mike Huckabee in 2008, said with Romney, there are no mysteries. "Mitt Romney has had such a long period of time to prove himself. Everybody has been watching Mitt Romney for four years and everybody has seen him get stronger and stronger and I just got swept up and said this man is the man to be our president. "

Which isn’t to say every Republican backing Romney is  exactly swooning. But given the competition, Romney may not need them to be.

"Just look at the candidates," says Jack Flanagan, a state rep who says he came to support Romney recently- by a process of elimination. "I like Newt Gingrich. I think he’s a bright guy, lot of baggage; Bachmann is very nice woman, but I just don’t think she’s got the depth; Huntsman, bright on foreign policy, just too far left for me on some issues; Santorum, way too far right for me. Who’s left? Perry. Oh, what do they say in Texas? All brim and no hat, " says Flanagan.

The sense that Romney is simply the GOP’s most plausible option is also reflected in every poll taken here. Romney’s been averaging about 40% support, more than twice that of his nearest rivals.

"I don’t see mitt Romney doing a slow fade in the weeks before NH," says Dante Scala, a political scientist at UNH.  "I think someone is going to have to go and tear him down from his perch," says Scala.

Scala questions whether the effort would be successful and says it would certainly cost money to give it a serious try – maybe $3 million on ads alone. Without doubt, the well-financed Romney campaign – which has banked  millions and not run a single ad this cycle -- would respond in kind. Under the circumstances, it’s unclear if any Romney rival other than Jon Huntsman, who polls in the low single digits, will conclude that NH is the best place to take Romney on.  And with the primary day just 8 weeks off, time may also become Mitt Romney’s ally.