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Pump Price Politics
By Laura Knoy on Wednesday, May 3, 2006.
Gasoline prices have become the number one concern for Americans and for good reason, the cost to fill up at the pump is soaring and showing no signs of coming down anytime soon. That reality has lead politicians to point fingers and scramble for solutions, as the mid term elections draw near. We’ll look at the current state of gas prices and see how its fueling political debate. Laura's guests are Masood Samii, Professor and Chair of the International Business Department at Southern New Hampshire University and Former Chief Economist for OPEC from 1978-1987. Dean Spiliotes, Director of Research for the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College. More From NHPR Comments
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Economics test for free
mulp - Tue, 05/02/2006 - 10:36
Economics test for free market advocates: Who pays the taxes on gasoline, the consumer or the producers when supply does not meet the demand? That is a trick question as supply always meets demand, but for the current market, the issue is where do the supply and demand curves intersect, and they intersect at the price that limits demand to the available supply. If the taxes were zeroed out, the price would drop, the consumers propensity to spend would increase and with it demand, so the demand would exceed the current available supply, so the suppliers would raise prices until the demand drops to the available supply. That price point is in the range of $3 a gallon. If the current gas tax total of half a dollar were increased to a dollar, the first reaction of the gas companies would be to raise the price to $3.50, but the demand would drop enough that the gas stations would start accumulating more and more, so one, then another, would drop the price of gas until the demand equal the supply. We have already established that the price where we have equilibrium in demand and supply is at a price of $3. The result is that the suppliers are the ones that pay the tax, not the consumer.
I guess this isn't read by
mulp - Wed, 05/03/2006 - 10:17
I guess this isn't read by anyone working on the show, like Laura Knoy. Twice Prof Sami answered as if price is not a factor in supply or demand. And twice that answer was unchallenged. First, how can cutting the tax on gasoline increase the supply, and if the supply does not increase, then how can the demand go down, and if the demand does not go down, how can the price go down. Consumers are willing, or forced to demand as much gas as can be supplied at $3 a gallon, because only at that point do consumers find alternatives. Second, the increased price has acted immediately to both cut demand and increase supply. Or rather it reflects the actions of consumers and suppliers. While suppliers have incurred increased costs as they shift oil and gas around the globe to ensure that they can meet demand everywhere, the price is set at the margin and most gas and oil reflects the increased cost, even if the cost has not increased for that oil and gas. And the way that the market decides to move the supply from one place to another is based on how much the demand drops in each market as a result of higher prices. People in NH may not have drastically reduced their gasoline consumption, but they certainly have reduced it as a result of the higher gas prices. Maybe it is in making fewer Sunday drives or simply not running down to the store to get a snack, and maybe the demand only goes down by 0.1%, but that might be all that it takes to bring supply and demand into equilibrium. Of course, the poor are hit far harder and they may have cut their driving in half, walking or taking the bus or just not making the trip to the doctor. In any case, if $3 gas didn't increase supply and didn't cut demand, then the price would go to $4 and then $5 and then $6 until demand dropped or supply increased, but the only way that price can increase in the short term is by moving gas and oil from other markets into the markets where the demand is outstripping supply.
Just some thoughts. Not in
mjmacarty - Wed, 05/03/2006 - 12:25
Just some thoughts. Not in any particular order… 1. We are all interested in a simple solution where there is none. |
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